Then on what possible basis do you claim that they accounted for autocorrelation improperly?
Quote: | but the flaws are obvious. |
Maybe it's obvious to the mentally healthy such as yourself, but remember, I'm !!!craaaAAAAAAaaaaaAAAaaazy!!!, and so are others on this board. Please, walk through it in baby steps so I can wrap my silly li'l head around
it.
Quote: | Non-computational? I'm not claiming to be an expert on the hole in the ozone layer (or a rocket scientist). I mean... I don't know... maybe CFCs
really are a problem. Or maybe not, but I definitely wouldn't put any stock in the projections in that paper. |
There are plenty of computational studies on ozone scenarios which have passed peer review, so clinging to this particular figure in a policymaker's
summary in a single report comes off as somewhat desperate. Here's an especially stark example:
Garcia, R. R., Kinnison, D. E., & Marsh, D. R. (2012). “World avoided” simulations with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model. Journal
of Geophysical Research, 117(D23), D23303. http://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018430
The original research on the subject was done without the benefit of modern supercomputer clusters or GCMs. It not only passed peer review, but won
the 1995 Nobel prize.
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