But if we assume that medium weight 250 kg bombs were used, reports of casualties at ~400 metres become more realistic. "Explosive weapon effects" report by GICHD says that "risk estimate distance" (RED) with 0.1% "expected percentage of incapacitation" for
500lb/250kg-class bomb is 425 metres (see Table 10 at p.84). REDs are calculated for soldiers lying prone, for standing unprepared civillians hit
probability and distances are more. Also in urban areas, there's a lot of secondary fragments like shattered glass.
Also should be noted that during one of air raids, a truck with explosives was hit, resulting in huge explosion and rumors about giant bombs,
according to "The battle for Spain" by Antony Beevor, page 333.
Thanks for reading an armchair analysis by a dummy. |